{"id":18254,"date":"2010-01-20T00:39:06","date_gmt":"2010-01-20T05:39:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=18254"},"modified":"2010-01-20T00:41:54","modified_gmt":"2010-01-20T05:41:54","slug":"2010-conference-championship-handicapping-preview-190110","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/cappers\/2010-conference-championship-handicapping-preview-190110\/","title":{"rendered":"2010 NFL Conference Championship Handicapping Tips"},"content":{"rendered":"

We are the Champions<\/h2>\n

It\u2019s Championship Week in the NFL and with it two teams are one win away from playing in Miami for Super Bowl XLIV. Like most football fans nationwide, everyone has an opinion on which those two teams will be. Our database does, too.<\/p>\n

There are generally two schools of thought when it comes to handicapping the final four teams on this week\u2019s card. You can look at them statistically, or you can analyze them technically.<\/p>\n

If we were interviewing handicappers we would have varying opinions on why any of the four teams will and advance. Ranging from players to fundamentals to situations, the answers would be all over the board.<\/p>\n

But since our database has a language of its own, we are limited to asking questions and reading answers. Here are some of a half-dozen questions we posed to the database and the answers we found surround NFL Championship games. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) and since 1980, unless noted otherwise\u2026<\/p>\n

Q \u2013 How have home teams fared in this game?<\/strong><\/p>\n

A \u2013 NFC hosts are 21-8 SU and 18-11 ATS, while AFC home teams are 18-11 SU and 15-14 ATS.<\/p>\n

Q \u2013Who is the better money winner, favorites or dogs?<\/strong>
\n<\/a>
\nA \u2013 Favorites have owned the edge, going 38-19 SU and 32-25 ATS, including 29-17 SU and ATS when laying less than 10 points.<\/p>\n

Q \u2013 How do teams that own the better record perform?<\/strong><\/p>\n

A \u2013 As the majority of time these are almost always the home team, the record for teams with a better win percentage are solid, going 37-16 SU and 31-22 ATS. When installed as dogs or favorites of less than 10 points these better record teams are 28-14 ATS.<\/p>\n

Q \u2013 How do road teams playing off a road game fare?<\/strong><\/p>\n

A \u2013 Not all that well, as you might imagine. These guys are just 9-20 SU and 12-17 ATS and 3-10 SU and 4-9 ATS when playing off back-to-back road games.<\/p>\n

Q \u2013 How have teams that lost their final game of the regular season done in title games if they were playing with a week of rest after the loss?<\/strong><\/p>\n

A \u2013 Teams that were defeated in their regular season finale are just 13-13 SU and 10-16 ATS in these games if they had a week off to prepare for their Division playoff game.<\/p>\n

Q \u2013How has the Over\/Under fared in these games?<\/strong><\/p>\n

A \u2013 Surprisingly, games in which the posted totals have been at the opposite end of the ladder have gone \u2018Over\u2019 in title games since 1990. Games with a total of more than 46 points have gone \u2018Over\u2019 the number in 14 of 18 occurrences, while totals of less than 41 have gone 20-8-2 to the \u2018Over\u2019 as well.<\/p>\n

There you have it. The database has spoken. Somewhere between its language and yours is a winner or two on this week\u2019s card. Enjoy the games\u2026<\/p>\n

Note: Marc Lawrence is a 30-year veteran handicapper. <\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Marc Lawrence brings us his 2010 AFC championship and NFC championship betting insight. Plus an indepth preview and betting predictions. It\u2019s Championship Week in the NFL and with it two teams are one win away from playing in Miami for Super Bowl XLIV…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[258],"tags":[22872,22870,22869,22871,22873,22875,15309,22876,463,14791,9912,14794,22874,22877,827,860,15322,15106],"class_list":["post-18254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cappers","tag-2010-afc-championship-prediction","tag-2010-betting-lines","tag-2010-football-previews","tag-2010-nfc-championship-prediction","tag-2010-nfl-predictions","tag-afc-championship-handicapping","tag-colts-picks","tag-conference-championship-odds","tag-free-nfl-picks","tag-jets-picks","tag-marc-lawrence","tag-marc-lawrence-nfl-picks","tag-nfc-championship-handicapping","tag-nfl-conference-championship-previews","tag-nfl-gambling","tag-nfl-previews","tag-saints-picks","tag-vikings-picks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18254","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18254"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18254\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18256,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18254\/revisions\/18256"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}