{"id":17317,"date":"2009-12-27T10:15:40","date_gmt":"2009-12-27T15:15:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=17317"},"modified":"2009-12-27T10:15:40","modified_gmt":"2009-12-27T15:15:40","slug":"cappers-texans-vs-dolphins-trends-pick-271209","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/gambling\/cappers-texans-vs-dolphins-trends-pick-271209\/","title":{"rendered":"Houston vs Miami Trends + Week 16 Pick"},"content":{"rendered":"

NFL Expert Picks \u2013 Win or Go Home for Texans and Dolphins<\/h2>\n

Texans vs. Dolphins (-3)
\n(O\/U) 45
\nSunday, December 27 – 1:00 PM ET<\/strong><\/p>\n

Win or go home!<\/p>\n

That\u2019s the slogan for this Sunday\u2019s Week 16 matchup between the Houston Texans (7-7 SU, 6-7-1 ATS, 4-10 O\/U) and Miami Dolphins (7-7 SU, 8-6 ATS, 8-6 O\/U).<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE For the BEST NFL Football Handicappers Plays Online For Week 16 —–><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

As two of six 7-7 AFC teams, neither team can clinch a playoff berth with a victory in this contest, but both teams would be eliminated from the postseason with a loss in this matchup.<\/p>\n

“Bottom line, we’re in an elimination game, really, this weekend because whoever doesn’t come out of this game victorious has no chance,\u201d Texans head coach Gary Kubiak told the Texans’ official Web site.<\/p>\n

Houston 411<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Texans have won two straight games including a narrow 16-13 win over St. Louis in Week 15.<\/p>\n

Veteran quarterback Matt Schaub passed for 367 yards with one touchdown and Andre Johnson caught nine passes for 196 yards, but the Texans failed to cover the NFL moneyline as a 14-point road favorite and has gone a discouraging 1-4 ATS over its last five games.<\/p>\n

Miami 411<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Dolphins lost a heart-breaker to the Tennessee Titans in Week 15, losing 27-24 in overtime but covering the pro NFL football betting odds as a 5-point road underdog in the loss.<\/p>\n

Second-year quarterback Chad Henne threw for 349 yards with one touchdown but also tossed three interceptions while Ricky Williams rushed for 80 yards and one TD on 19 carries.\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Miami has covered the NFL moneyline in three straight games and four of its last five games overall.<\/p>\n

Key Trends<\/strong><\/p>\n

Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
\nTexans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
\nDolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
\nDolphins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.<\/p>\n

Analysis<\/strong>: The Dolphins haven\u2019t lost two consecutive games since getting off to a poor 0-3 start this season and have generally looked like one of the AFC\u2019s stronger teams over the last month or so.<\/p>\n

While these two teams enter this matchup with identical 7-7 SU records, the Miami Dolphins are clearly playing better football than the Texans.<\/p>\n

The Dolphins have won four of its last six games, beating Carolina, New England and Jacksonville along the way. The Texans have beaten the lowly Seahawks and Rams in each of their last two games, but dropped their previous four games and couldn\u2019t pull away from the Rams when it counted last week.<\/p>\n

The Texans are averaging just 86.1 yards per game this season and rushed for just 52 total yards last week on 24 carries.<\/p>\n

Miami has gone a solid 4-2 SU at home this season and have been nearly automatic at home in the month of December, recording a scorching 5-0 ATS mark in their last five games in the final month of the year.<\/p>\n

I know the Texans have gone an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, but I say back the Miami Dolphins in this home matchup.<\/p>\n

Miami has gone an incendiary 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against AFC rivals and should be able to pull out a victory in this contest if second-year signal caller Chad Henne doesn\u2019t throw multiple interceptions. The Dolphins are ranked 24th in the NFL in turnover margin at minus-seven, so holding on to the ball will be crucial.<\/p>\n

In the end though, I just can\u2019t see the one-dimensional Texans beating the Dolphins at home.<\/p>\n

NFL Expert Picks: Miami Dolphins -3 Points<\/strong>
\n <\/strong><\/p>\n

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Preview and Week 16 cappers matchup tips for this weeks Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins matchup, plus an NFL Betting Preview, a look at the gambling trends, plus a free pick…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[8009,161,166,2837,1485,470,502,548,1783,21733,632,659,856,2521,2520,2941,21732,6639],"class_list":["post-17317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gambling","tag-2009-nfl-betting","tag-betting","tag-betting-odds","tag-dolphins-betting-trends","tag-football-lines","tag-free-pick","tag-gambling-lines","tag-handicappers-predictions","tag-houston-texans","tag-houston-texans-vs-miami-dolphins","tag-lines","tag-miami-dolphins","tag-nfl-predictions","tag-nfl-trends","tag-online-nfl-gambling","tag-texans-betting-trends","tag-texans-vs-dolphins","tag-week-16"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17317","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17317"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17317\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17319,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17317\/revisions\/17319"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17317"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17317"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17317"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}