{"id":12662,"date":"2009-08-27T15:27:10","date_gmt":"2009-08-27T20:27:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=12662"},"modified":"2023-02-07T07:58:13","modified_gmt":"2023-02-07T15:58:13","slug":"nflx-gambling-tips-270609","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/handicapping\/nflx-gambling-tips-270609\/","title":{"rendered":"Handicapping Week 3 NFL Preseason Games"},"content":{"rendered":"

NFLX WEEK 3 VS NFL WEEK 1 WHAT DOES IT MEAN?<\/h2>\n
\"Mr<\/a>
Mr East<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

It is often called the most important game, and the only important game of the entire NFLX<\/strong><\/a>. Some coaches may agree, or disagree, but the NFLX week 3 is a dress rehersal for week 1, as the starters get a lot of minutes, and teams find out where they stand on both sides of the ball.I decided to take a look at 2 things, as it relates to what significance week 3 in the NFLX has on game one of the opening season, and also take a look at NFLX totals that are 40 or higher. First, let’s start with week 3 of the NFLX, and if it is a predictor of what will happen in week 1 of the regular season.<\/p>\n

CLICK HERE TO VIEW MR. EAST’S DAILY PICKS PAGE ONLINE \u2014-><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

This is not a lot of data, but what it does show, is their is a negative correlation to winning ATS in week 3 of the NFLX, vs winning in week 1 ATS. Last year, in NFL week 1, there were 5 matchups, of teams that won ATS in week 3 of the NFLX, playing against teams that lost in week 3 of the NFLX ATS. The results show that the losers of week 3 of the NFLX ATS, that played against winners, won the ATS battle in week one by a 3-2 score or 60%. Going back to the 2007 season, losers prevailed once again in week 1, where they went 2-1 ATS, and similar results in 2006, as the losres prevailed 3-1 ATS.<\/p>\n

\"Sports<\/p>\n

That shows 3 straight years, albeit very few games, where the losers came out in the money, with an overall win rate of 67% (8-4). This may be meaningless based on how few games, but something to watch going forward, and if nothing else, it says beware of putting a few sheckles on the week 3 NFLX ATS winner vs a loser in game 1.<\/p>\n

Looking at NFLX totals, it is not very often you see them set at 40 or higher, as scoring is usually minimized.<\/p>\n

So is there value on any given game when the oddsmakers reach up and touch the 40 marker in NFLX games?<\/p>\n

There is apparently something to look at here. Games with a posted total of 40 or higher since 1996 in NFLX games have gone 58-45 to the UNDER which is 56.3%.<\/p>\n

Looking at strictly week 3 games, when the oddsmakers treat these games more like a regular season game, which they are not, that under percentage jumps to 58.5%.<\/p>\n

Looks like something to put in your arsenol and at the very least, if you don’t like the under in the totals set at 40+, it may be a good idea to stay away from the over! Wishing you the best in NFL & NCAAF betting<\/strong><\/a> this season!! EAST<\/p>\n

====================================================<\/p>\n

MrEast Sports Picks<\/h3>\n

Click here now to Grab A Week\u2019s Pass To Picks from MrEast. His picks\u00a0will win you money, plus teach you how to be an expert handicapper at the same time!<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Handicapping tips for Week 3 of the NFL Preseason by Mr. East. NFLX week 3 is a dress rehersal for week 1, as the starters get a lot of minutes…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[551],"tags":[434,4325,7272,6860,808,16751,830,15502,16750,15503,1018],"class_list":["post-12662","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-handicapping","tag-football-handicapping","tag-mr-east","tag-mr-east-picks","tag-mreast-picks","tag-nfl-cappers","tag-nfl-handicaping","tag-nfl-handicapping","tag-nfl-preseason-handicapping","tag-nflx-gambling-tips","tag-nflx-handicapping","tag-pre-season"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12662","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12662"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12662\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":109156,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12662\/revisions\/109156"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12662"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12662"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12662"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}