{"id":11016,"date":"2009-06-15T12:16:06","date_gmt":"2009-06-15T17:16:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/blog\/?p=11016"},"modified":"2009-06-15T12:16:06","modified_gmt":"2009-06-15T17:16:06","slug":"baseball-gambling-analysis-150609","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/handicapping\/baseball-gambling-analysis-150609\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB Baseball Handicapping Bad Beats"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Ben Burns &#8211; Bad Beats<\/h2>\n<p>What in the world was in the Gatorade this week?<\/p>\n<p>(Vodka goes best, by the way).<\/p>\n<p>Pop-ups were causing havoc in New York and Tampa. Birds were doing the same in Cleveland. And in Chicago, Milton Bradley still doesn&#8217;t have a clue.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll start at the backyard known as the new Yankee Stadium, where Gold Glove-second baseman Luis Castillo handed Mets&#8217; backers an atrocious bad beat that may not be topped this season.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Leading 8-7, with two outs in the ninth, the Mets were poised to take Friday&#8217;s series opener against their cross-town rivals.<\/p>\n<p>As Francisco Rodriguez got Alex Rodriguez to pop up weakly to shallow right field, Mets backers were looking at a plus-200 payday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/respsportscapping.php?capper\/capper\/302\/Ben%20Burns\/AF23_15\"><strong>CLICK HERE NOW TO VIEW BEN BURNS\u2019 WEEKLY PICKS \u2014&gt;<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Castillo circled under it and promptly flubbed it.<\/p>\n<p>Derek Jeter and Mark Teixeira both scored, giving the Yankees an improbable victory.<\/p>\n<p>Castillo, who is making $6.5 million this season, said he had trouble sleeping after the error.<\/p>\n<p>Poor guy<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile in Tampa, the underdog Nationals were tied with the Rays in the eighth.<\/p>\n<p>With two outs, Tampa&#8217;s Gabe Kapler popped one up in foul territory. Nats&#8217; first baseman Nick Johnson had plenty of room, but overran the play and dropped it.<\/p>\n<p>On the next pitch, Kapler, who was batting .173 and mired in a 3-for-31 slump, hit only his second home run of the year, which proved to be the eventual game-winner.<\/p>\n<p>Anyone who took the Nationals lost a chance at a plus-230 payday. Then again, if you&#8217;re betting on the Nationals, you&#8217;re probably drinking the Gatorade too.<a href=\"http:\/\/www.wgmg.co.cr\/aspx\/affiliateStoreClick.aspx?ID_SC=1286&amp;ID_I=274\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" style=\"margin: 1px; border: 1px solid #ffffff;\" title=\"Just Bet\" src=\"http:\/\/banners.wgmg.co.cr\/aspx\/affiliateGetImage.aspx?ID_SC=1286&amp;ID_I=274\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Just Bet\" width=\"250\" height=\"250\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Over in Cleveland, where we&#8217;re all still waiting for LeBron to admit he acted unprofessionally by not shaking the Magic&#8217;s hands, the Indians are dealing with a curse that has infested their stadium with sea gulls.<\/p>\n<p>On Thursday, the curse actually helped the Indians, but killed bettors who took Zack Grienke and the Royals as -147 favorites.<\/p>\n<p>With the game tied 3-3 in the 10th, Cleveland&#8217;s Shin-Soo Choo singled up the middle. Coco Crisp charged the ball and prepared to try to throw out Mark DeRosa, who was trying to score from second.<\/p>\n<p>As Crisp approached the ball, a flock of sea gulls swooped in. The ball caromed off one the birds and past Crisp, allowing DeRosa to score.<\/p>\n<p>Finally in Chicago, there was Mr. Bradley, who could put together the worst single-game performance in recent memory.<\/p>\n<p>The Cubs&#8217; outfielder lost a popup in the sun, couldn&#8217;t come up with an RBI bloop double and made a baserunning error. But the $30 million man wasn&#8217;t through. After catching Joe Mauer&#8217;s fly ball, Bradley flipped the ball into the stands for the fans. Only problem, there was just one out.<\/p>\n<p>Nick Punton scored from third and Brendan Harris moved all the around from first to third.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I never made a mistake like that (losing track of the outs) in my life. \u00a0Sue me,&#8221; Bradley told reporters.<\/p>\n<p>Can we?<\/p>\n<p><em>David Payne writes for Ben Burns.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"https:\/\/www.capperspicks.com\/respsportscapping.php?capper\/capper\/302\/Ben%20Burns\/AF23_15\">Click here to See More from Ben Burns &#8211; Including  His Free Picks + Expert Selections &#8211; Grab 1 Month Of Picks For Less Then $400 Today!!! &gt;&gt;&gt;<\/a><\/h3>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We&#8217;ll start at the backyard known as the new Yankee Stadium, where Gold Glove-second baseman Luis Castillo handed Mets&#8217; backers an atrocious bad beat&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[551],"tags":[2390,9155,9147,9144,9146,9163,2058,13138,14025,14213,683],"class_list":["post-11016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-handicapping","tag-ben-burns","tag-ben-burns-free-picks","tag-ben-burns-handicapping","tag-ben-burns-picks","tag-ben-burns-predictions","tag-experts-picks","tag-mlb-baseball-betting","tag-mlb-baseball-handicapping","tag-mlb-betting-analysis","tag-mlb-gambling-analysis","tag-mlb-handicapping"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11016","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/68"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11016"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11016\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11174,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11016\/revisions\/11174"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11016"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11016"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/capperspicks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11016"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}