TCU vs West Virginia Odds & Prediction
After a solid 4-0 start TCU (5-3) has lost 3 of their last 4 games including their last 2 and they will be facing a WVU (5-2) team that has also lost their last 2 games.
Author: Jason Green
Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.
Illinois vs Ohio St. Odds & Prediction
Ohio State (9-0) will not be going to any bowls this season with their suspension, but they are still undefeated and the 6th ranked team in the nation. Illinois (2-6) can play in a bowl this season, but to do so they will have to win their last 4 games.
Nebraska vs Michigan St. Odds & Prediction
With Nebraska’s (6-2) win over Michigan last week they are in the driver’s seat in the Big 12 Leaders Division and while they do not face a ranked tam the rest of the season facing Michigan State (4-4) at home will be a tough test.
NFL Handicapping – Dolphins vs Jets Betting Spread / Matchup
The Dolphins (3-3) and Jets (3-4) have some bad blood between them after their week 3 game where All-Pro cornerback Darrelle Revis was lost for the season with a knee injury and Reggie Bush was taken off the field after a vicious hit.
Venue/ Stadium: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, October 28, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Dolphins +110 / Jets -130
Spread: Jets -2
Over/Under: 40.5
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Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Preview
The Jets won that game in OT and they are looking for their first season sweep of Miami since the 2007 season.
Each team needs a win to keep pace with the Patriots, who are in first place in the AFC East and are favorites this week facing the Rams in London. NFL lines have the Jets as 2-point home favorites with a total of 40.5.
In their last games the Dolphins beat the St. Louis Rams 17-14 while the Jets lost to the New England Patriots 29-26 in OT.
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The Dolphins have gotten back in the playoff picture with 2 straight wins while the Jets have lost 2 of their last 3 games.
On the season the Dolphins are 3-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-3 and the Jets are 5-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-3.
Ryan Tannehill does not have the best WR corps, but unlike early in the season he is not making mistakes and he has not been picked off in his last 2 games. He has connected on 66.7% of his passes for 839 yards in his last 3 games, but he will be facing a legit New York pass defense that ranks 9th in the league.
Bush is the leading rusher for the Dolphins, but even though the Dolphins have won their last 2 games he has failed to average over 2.5 yards per carry in either of those games. However, there is a chance he will get back on track in this game since the Jets’ run defense has really struggled this season and ranks 30th in the league. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Mark Sanchez passed for 323 yards past week with 1 TD and 1 INT and the only other time he passed for over 300 yard this season was the earlier game facing the Dolphins. However, he was picked off twice in that game. His WR corps is banged up, but Jeremy Kerley has been playing well. While Miami only ranks 28th in pass D they have a good pass rush and pressuring Sanchez in the pocket will be key for them in this game.
The Dolphins run defense has been great this season, ranking 3rd in the league, and Jets’ RB Shonn Greene left the Patriots game with a head injury, but he should go in this game. Still, he has averaged over 4 yards per carry this season in only 1 game and that was facing a weak run defense of the Colts.
In some betting trends for this AFC East match up the Dolphins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, and they have an Under record of 14-6-1 in their last 21 games.
The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 vs. AFC East.
Jason’s Pick: The Jets played pretty good in their OT loss to the Patriots last week and at home they will play well again, especially on defense and they will win and cover.
NFL Handicapping – Colts vs Titans Betting Spread / Matchup
After losing 4 of their first 5 games the Titans (3-4) have won 2 straight and in their last game Chris Johnson blew up for 195 rushing yards and looked like the RB that was the best in the league a couple years back.
NFL Handicapping – Falcons vs Eagles Betting Spread / Matchup
The Falcons are the only team in the NFL that has yet to lose and one of the main reasons is their play by QB Matt Ryan, who has many solid targets and has the 4th highest QB rating in the league.
TCU vs Oklahoma St. Odds & Prediction
After sitting at .500 a few weeks back Oklahoma State (4-2) has won 2 straight including beating a ranked Iowa State team last week. TCU (5-2) has lost 2 of their last 3 games, including a barnburner last week in triple OT, and with their last loss they fell from the top 25.
Boise St. vs Wyoming Odds & Prediction
Since suffering a season opening loss to a ranked Michigan State team Boise State (6-1) has reeled off 6 straight wins and they sit in first place in the Mountain West Conference.
Michigan St. vs Wisconsin Odds & Prediction
Many thought this game would have BCS implications, but each lost early in the season and Michigan State (4-4) has lost 3 of their last 4 games and they are only 1-3 in Big 10 play. Wisconsin (3-1) is still in the Big 10 title and BCS picture, as they trail Penn State and Ohio State, who the Badgers play in their last 2 games.
Kent St. vs Rutgers Odds & Prediction
Rutgers (7-0) is one of 3 undefeated teams in the Big East and while they do not have a dynamic offense they win with the nation’s 3rd ranked defense, which is only giving up an average of 11.3 points per game.
Clemson vs Wake Forest Odds & Prediction
Clemson is at 6-1 and they have won 3 straight games. However, their only loss has come against Florida State, who beat them in ACC play and if the Seminoles run the table in conference play the Tigers may be out of the BCS picture.
NFL Handicapping – Browns vs Colts Betting Spread / Matchup
Venue/ Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, October 21, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Browns +110 / Colts -130
Spread: Colts -2.5
Over/Under: 45.5
Cleveland Browns vs. Indianapolis Colts Preview
The Browns (1-5) are coming off their first win of the season and now are on the road to face a Colts’ (2-3) team that is coming off a blowout loss. Andrew Luck has had an up and down season with the Colts not losing or winning 2 straight all season and after a solid game in the shocking win over Green Bay he fell down to earth last week against the Jets with 2 picks and a lost fumble. His play will be key in this AFC match up since the Browns rank 30th in the NFL in pass defense. NFL lines have the Colts as 2.5-point home favorites with a total of 45.5.
In their last games the Browns beat the Cincinnati Bengals 34-24 while the Colts were blown out losing to the New York Jets 35-9.
On the season the Browns are 3-2-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-3 and the Colts are 2-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-2.
Brandon Weeden had a good game last week with over 230 passing yards and he and his decent WR corps may have a problem moving the chains in the air since the Colt have the league’s 3rd ranked pass defense. It is key that Weeden avoid the turnover and Weeden leads the NFL with 10 picks as opposed to only 7 TD.
The Colts have not been able to stop the run this season and that is a concern in this game. They may get Pro Bowl LB Robert Mathis back and they will need his help trying to contain Trent Richardson. He did not have a good game in the win over the Bengals, but he is the Browns leading rusher and 2nd leading receiver. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Luck also has to avoid the turnover and his main target of Reggie Wayne ranks 3rd in the league in receiving yards. While the Browns have been giving up a ton of yards in the air they rank 3rd in the NFL with 10 INT.
Cleveland does not have a very good run defense, but will that hurt them in this game? The Colts have struggled to run the ball this season and lead RB Donald Brown is out with a knee injury. Vick Ballard will get the call in the backfield, but for the season he only has 67 yards on a weak 2.3 yards per carry average.
The Browns have lost 10 straight on the road.
In some betting trends for this AFC match up the Browns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 3-1-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, and they have an Under record of 12-5-1 in their last 18 games.
The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 3-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, and they have an Under record of 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
Jason’s Pick: Even with a weak rushing attack I think Luck will play well and the Colts will win a cover in a close game.
NFL Handicapping – Titans vs Bills Betting Spread / Matchup
Venue/ Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo, NY
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, October 21, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Titans +105 / Bills -125
Spread: Bills -3
Over/Under: 46.5
Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills Preview
The Bills (3-3) are coming off a win, which snapped their 2-game losing streak. To say there is a log jam atop the NFC East is an understatement since every team in the division is 3-3. The Titans (2-4) are coming off an upset win over the Steelers, which may have saved their season, but they still are a few games behind the Houston Texans (5-1), who are running away with the AFC South. NFL lines have the Bills as 3-point home favorites with a total of 46.5.
On the season the Titans are 2-4 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-2 and the Bills are 3-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-2.
In their last games the Titans beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 26-23 and the Bills beat the Arizona Cardinals 19-16 in OT.
Matt Hasselbeck will be making his 3rd start for the injured Jake Locker and in the Steelers’ game he passed for 290 yards. While the Bills’ pass D is decent they have no wins this season against teams with a good aerial attack.
In the Steelers game Titans’ RB Chris Johnson rushed for 91 yards, but he is still only averaging 3.3 yards per carry and Tennessee has the worst rushing offense in the league. However, Johnson may have another good game since the Bills’ rushing defense ranks dead last in the NFL. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Ryan Fitzpatrick has been decent this season and he has a couple of solid WR’s in Steve Johnson and Scott Chandler, but it is key that he avoids the turnover. He only has 2 INT in his last 2 games and this is after getting picked off 4 times in the Bills blowout loss to the Patriots a few weeks back. The Titans’ pass defense only ranks 29th in the league and they have a weak pass rush with only 8 sacks on the season.
The key to the Bills winning is their rushing game led by C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson, who each scored in the win over Arizona and combined for 141 rushing yards. The Titans’ run D ranks 22nd in the league, but they stuffed the run last week. However, in their previous 2 losses, which were both blowouts, facing the good rushing teams of Houston and Minnesota they gave up a lot of yards on the ground.
The Titans have won 4 straight against the Bills.
In some betting trends for this AFC match up the Titans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
The Bills are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and they have an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Jason’s Pick: I have to go with the Titans in this one, as I think Johnson will have another good game and they will win a close low scoring affair.
NFL Handicapping – Jaguars vs Raiders Betting Spread / Matchup
Venue/ Stadium: O.co Coliseum, Oakland, CA
Time/Date: 4:25 PM EST Sunday, October 21, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Jags +210 / Raiders -270
Spread: Raiders -4
Over/Under: 44
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Oakland Raiders Preview
The Jaguars and Raiders are both at 1-4 and each team has lost 2 straight. The Jaguars have one thing going for them and that is they are coming off a bye so they will be well-rested. The Raiders may have some confidence not only because they are home facing a weak Jags’ team, but also in their last game they played well and almost beat the Falcons, who are the last undefeated team in the league. NFL lines have the Raiders as a 4-point home favorite with a total 44.
In their last games the Raiders lost to the Atlanta Falcons 23-20 and the Jags were crushed losing to the Chicago Bears 41-3.
On the season the Jags are 2-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 2-3 and the Raiders are 2-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-3.
In the Falcons’ game the Raiders were solid on both sides of the ball, as they ranked up 474 yards of total offense, they rushed for almost 150 yards, and they had 3 INT. If they play like that again facing Jacksonville, who are coming off 2 of their worst losses ever, they should easily win this game.
Carson Palmer played well last week and he has a pretty good WR corps and he leads the Raiders and their 12th ranked pass defense. The Jags only have the league’s 23rd ranked pass defense and their secondary will likely not get much help from the pass rush that ranks dead last in the league with only 3 sacks in 5 games.
The Jags have a terrible run defense ranking 30th in the league, but they will be facing Raiders/ RB Darren McFadden, who is only averaging 3.2 yards per carry. However, the last time these 2 teams met he had 209 yards from scrimmage and had 3 TD. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The Raiders’ defense only ranks 25th against the pass and 18th against the run, but they will be going up against a Jags’ offense that may be the weakest in the NFL. By may I mean they do, as Jacksonville ranks dead last in the league in total offense (241.2 yards per game), passing yards per game (142.8 ypg) and scoring (13.0 ppg). Blaine Gabbert has not progressed as a QB, but it does not help he lacks weapons on the outside. High draft pick Justin Blackmon has not panned out yet, but the Jags have stated he will be more involved in the offense this week.
The key to the Jags winning this game is the play of RB Maurice Jones-Drew, who has been decent this season, but since the Jags have gotten down early in their games he has not gotten as many touches and the team would like. If the Raiders can shut him down they will be sitting pretty.
In some betting trends for this AFC match up the Jags are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and they have an Under record of 7-2-1 in their last road games.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Jason’s Pick: I think the Raiders will easily win this game and cover the spread. I see this game getting ugly, as the Jags will get blown out.
NFL Handicapping – Redskins vs Giants Betting Spread / Matchup
Venue/ Stadium: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, October 21, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Redskins +230 / Giants -270
Spread: Giants -6.5
Over/Under: 51
Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants Preview
The Giants (4-2) have a 1-game lead over the Redskins (3-3) in the tough NFC East and they are coming off a great road win over the 49ers where they beat San Francisco at their own game playing great D and running the ball. The Skins were torched through the air in their last game, but RG3 had another solid game and rushed for over 130 yards in a Washington win. NFL lines have the Giants as 6.5-point home favorites with a total of 51.
In their last games the Giants beat the San Francisco 49ers 26-3 and the Redskins beat the Minnesota Vikings 38-26.
On the season the Redskins are 3-3 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-3 and the Giants are 3-2-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-4.
The Giants beat the 49ers last week because they played great D and RB Ahmad Bradshaw rushed for over 100 yards for the 2nd straight game. Eli Manning had a good game, but he did not have to light up the scoreboard with how good the New York D played. He has a great young WR corps and will be facing a Redskins’ pass D that ranks dead last in the NFL.
Bradshaw may have a hard time hitting the 100-yard rushing barrier 3 straight games, as the Redskins have a solid run D and held Adrian Peterson and the Vikings to under 100 rushing yards last week.
RG3 was a monster on the ground last week and in the air he passed for 182 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. Fred Davis and Santana Moss are his main targets and while the Giants only rank 21st in the league in pass defense their secondary had 3 picks and their pass rush played great. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The Redskins have to get good play from their offensive line both protecting RG3 and opening up holes for the rushing game, which Washington will look to establish early.
RB Alfred Morris has had a great rookie season, but he did not have a good game against the Vikings and he has to play well. They cannot count on RG3 to run the ball like he did last week and the more he runs the ball the more he has a chance to get injured just like Michael Vick.
In some betting trends for this NFC East match up the Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win and they have an Over record of 6-1-1 in their last 8 games.
The Giants are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games, 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points, and they have an Under record of 10-3 in their last 13 games.
Jason’s Pick: I hate to go with the Giants since I love the Skins, but have to do so, as I think Manning will light up the sketchy Washington secondary and while RG3 will have another good game he cannot do it all.
NFL Handicapping – Jets vs Patriots Betting Spread / Matchup
Venue/ Stadium: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Time/Date: 4:25 PM EST Sunday, October 21, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Jets +400 / Patriots -500
Spread: Patriots -10.5
Over/Under: 47.5
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Preview
The Jets are coming off win while the Patriots are coming off a loss and every team in the AFC is at 3-3. The Pats have had the Jets number as of late and in their last 3 games facing them they have scored 112 points and given up 40. Tim Tebow has not seen much time under center this season, but since the RB corps is really banged up in this division match he may play in the backfield. NFL lines have the Patriots as big 10.5-point home favorites with a total of 47.5.
In their last games the Jets had no problem in beating the Indianapolis Colts 35-9 while the Patriots lost to the 24-23.
On the season the Jets are 4-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-3 and the Patriots are 4-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-2.
Mark Sanchez only passed for 82 yards last week, but he did have 2 TD and not only is the RB corps banged up, but so is the WR corps. He may have to carry the offense with his no-name wide-outs since the Pats’ run defense is good while their pass defense only ranks 28th in the league.
Jets’ RB Shonn Greene is healthy and his play is key in this game. He had really struggled all season and last week he blew up for 161 yards with 3 TD. However, that was facing a weak Colts’ run defense and this game he faces a New England run defense that ranks a solid 5th in the league.
Tom Brady passed for almost 400 yards in the loss to Seattle with 2 TD, but 2 costly INT’s. We all know that the Pats have a very solid WR corps, led by Wes Welker who ranks 2nd in the NFL in passing yards, and a couple of great pass catching TE’s. Brady has to avoid the INT and that will be easier in this game since star CB Darrelle Revis is out for the season. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
Brady has 10 TD passes in his last 4 games facing the Jets and in their last meeting The Patriots beat the Jets 37-16.
After rushing for over 100 yards in 2 straight games Stevan Ridley only had 34 rushing yards averaging 2.1 yards per carry in the loss to the Seahawks. However, Seattle has one of the bets run defenses in the league while the Jets have one of the worst only ranking 28th in the league.
In some betting trends for this AFC East match up the Jets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC, and they have an Over record of 19-7 in their last 26 road games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and they have an Over record of 16-7 in their last 23 home games.
Jason’s Pick: This one is an easy call, as even though the Pats are coming off a loss and I think they will easily win this game and cover the spread.
